Do officials favour big clubs such as Man Utd & Arsenal?

first_imgPremier League Premier League referees: Do officials favour big clubs such as Man Utd & Arsenal? Goal 23:41 11/29/17 FacebookTwitterRedditcopy Comments(5) Assistant referee offside Getty Images Premier League Arsenal Swansea City Everton Leicester City Manchester United AFC Bournemouth Tottenham Hotspur Crystal Palace Brighton & Hove Albion Chelsea Watford West Bromwich Albion Newcastle United Burnley Huddersfield Town Manchester City Southampton West Ham United Liverpool Stoke City Stats New research has examined data in an attempt to establish if any bias exists against certain clubs in England’s top flight Every football fan has had a sneaking suspicion that certain referees give their club a hard time.That sense of paranoia may be fuelled by things such as the number of cards dispensed by individuals during games, or the awarding of penalties to opposition teams.Usually it is simply a case of confirmation bias, but Free Super Tips have used a new algorithm to examine which teams are actually favoured by referees. Article continues below Editors’ Picks Lyon treble & England heartbreak: The full story behind Lucy Bronze’s dramatic 2019 Liverpool v Man City is now the league’s biggest rivalry and the bitterness is growing Megan Rapinoe: Born & brilliant in the U.S.A. A Liverpool legend in the making: Behind Virgil van Dijk’s remarkable rise to world’s best player Using data from the last five seasons – from 2012/13 to 2016/16 – and applying an affinity algorithm that takes cards, fouls and penalties given, they have come up with some interesting conclusions.WHO IS THE REFEREES’ ‘FAVOURITE’ TEAM?Granit Xhaka Arsenal Kevin Friend refereeBournemouth are, somewhat surprisingly, the team most favoured by referees in England’s top division, with a 66 per cent level of ‘referee affinity’ and, according to the research, Cherries fans should be quietly thankful when Jonathan Moss officiates their games.Arsenal and Liverpool follow Bournemouth with 64.6% and 62.72% referee affinity, while Swansea and Everton complete the top five. Chelsea follow in sixth with 61.72%.Interestingly, Tottenham and Manchester United seem to be considerably less favoured compared to their rivals. Team Club referee affinity Best referee Bournemouth 66% Jonathan Moss Arsenal 64.6% Chris Foy Liverpool 62.72% Mike Jones Swansea 62.53% Mark Clattenburg Everton 62.46% Craig Pawson Chelsea 61.72% Craig Pawson Southampton 60.12% Anthony Taylor Leicester City 60.08% Andre Marriner Manchester City 59.86% Jonathan Moss Burnley 59.8% Kevin Friend Tottenham 59.78% Howard Webb West Ham 59.29% Lee Probert West Brom 59.1% Howard Webb Newcastle United 58.47% Lee Probert Manchester United 58.15% Lee Probert Crystal Palace 56.63% Andre Marriner Stoke City 56.05% Robert Madley Watford 52.23% Roger East AVERAGE 59.89% – * Newly promoted clubs Brighton and Huddersfield Town not included due to a lack of Premier League appearances.** The affinity percentage data ranges from 30% (negative) to 90% (positive) with 60% (with a range between 54% and 66%) representing the point of neutral bias.The full dataset can be seen here.DO REFEREES FAVOUR MANCHESTER UNITED?Paul Pogba Manchester United Mark Swarbrick refereeAs you can see from the table above, the idea that Premier League referees might subconsciously favour Manchester United is not borne out in reality.In fact, of the traditional ‘top six’, Arsenal appear to receive the most favourable treatment from referees.The Gunners are followed closely by Liverpool and Chelsea, while Manchester City and Tottenham even seem to fare better with referees than the Red Devils.Interestingly, according to the data, Man United now receive 33.3% fewer penalties than they did during Sir Alex Ferguson’s reign, as well as being deemed to have committed 37.67% more fouls.Top six breakdown: Team Club referee affinity Arsenal 64.6% (above average) Liverpool 62.72% (above average) Chelsea 61.72% (above average) Manchester City 59.86% (above average) Tottenham 59.78% (below average) Manchester United 58.15% (below average) Check out Goal’s Premier League 2019-20 fantasy football podcast for game tips, debate and rivalries.last_img read more