Today’s Daily Fantasy Hockey Picks: Advice, strategy for Wednesday’s DraftKings, FanDuel NHL DFS contests

first_imgWelcome back for another season of NHL DFS! Hockey (and daily fantasy hockey) return tonight with a four-game opening slate that includes a battle of the past two Stanley Cup champions, the Blues and Capitals. As is the case most days during the NHL season, we’re here to hep you take down some GPPs and cash games with our favorite DraftKings and FanDuel picks.Before we get into tonight’s plays, we’d like to give you a preview of Fantasy Alarm’s NHL coverage. Every day we will have either a full Playbook like the one below or a more narrative-form breakdown of the slate along with example lineups for slates of three or more games. If there are multiple slates in a day with more than three games, we will cover the larger of the two slates, and if there are an equal number of games on split slates, the later of the two slates. We will not have coverage on days where there is only a one- or two-game slate. Today’s NHL DFS Picks: DraftKings, FanDuel advice for Wednesday, Oct. 2Editor’s Note: This is a FREE preview of Wednesday’s Fantasy Alarm’s NHL DFS Playbook. For full analysis every day and more ways to dominate your daily fantasy hockey competition, check out DFS site-specific advice and the rest of Fantasy Alarm’s great season-long and DFS tools available to subscribers.                                   Pos PlayerMatchupFDDKY!AnalysisCA. MatthewsOTT@TORWed 7:00$8300$7700$34The Leafs are the big favorite of this short opening slate as -300 home favorites against the Senators. Ottawa lacks talent and depth, but its first line and first pair had noticeably better possession numbers than the rest of the lineup last year. The matchup against its top five isn’t bad necessarily, but the matchups against Senators down the lineup are some of the best individual matchups of the night. Last year it was the John Tavares line that tended to match up with the opposing top line in home games, so Matthews’ line should see more of the depth if that usage holds this season.CC. McDavidVAN@EDMWed 10:00$9000$8100$35Per my own matchup stat, the Oilers have the second best matchup of the night after the Leafs. Vegas has the team in their own city with the second highest implied goal total of the night, but I prefer the Oilers as a second option. McDavid is great and matchup-proof, that does not need explaining. He may not be affordable in cash, but fit him in if you can and consider him for GPPs, as his upside is always through the roof.CR. Nugent-HopkinsVAN@EDMWed 10:00$5800$5300$19RNH is a cheaper option to get some Oilers in your lineup. He centers the second line and has the dangerous Leon Draisaitl on his wing. RNH also has the benefit of playing on the top PP unit with Draisaitl and McDavid. He’s a nice value on both sites.CB. SchennWSH@STLWed 8:00$5700$4700$16The Blues will host the previous Cup winners, the Caps, in their home opener. While Washington’s top line is dangerous offensively, it’s not the most intimidating line defensively. Schenn’s line typically got opposing top lines in home games late last year, so they could be the beneficiary of the matchup with Ovi and company. Plus/minus hasn’t been a stat in DFS scoring for years, so it’s no concern if the Caps score on them.CB. HorvatVAN@EDMWed 10:00$6100$4800$19Horvat is a nice value on DK. He’ll take up a little more than 11 percent of the cap on FD but only 9.6 percent of the cap on DK. Horvat has a top-six role and plays on the second PP unit for the Canucks. If you’re looking for a pure salary relief option on DK, Chris Tierney is another option at the C position. Tierney is under $3K, and while he won’t see PP work, he is centering Ottawa’s second line.CC. GlassSJ@VGKWed 10:30$3600$2800$10Horvat and Tierney were going to be the value options listed here at C, but Glass cannot be ignored. There’s a real chance the sixth overall pick from this year’s draft is centering Mark Stone and Max Pacioretty and playing with them on the top power play unit in his first NHL game. At his price, he’d be a real value with that kind of usage.WA. JohnssonOTT@TORWed 7:00$5100$5400$15Johnsson joins Matthews at even strength and on the power play and is thus a good option for a stack. William Nylander is the third member of that line, though Nylander plays on the second unit. Johnsson is too expensive on DK but is reasonably priced on FD, which is also the site where Matthews is priced better. Among Toronto forwards on the top PP unit, Mitch Marner is the one whose price tag is more appealing on DK.WM. StoneSJ@VGKWed 10:30$7400$6900$26Vegas is the other sizable favorite of the slate as a -190 home favorite against San Jose. San Jose is a solid possession team that makes it unappealing to pick on, but it had the worst goaltending in the league last year by SV%, so its opponents can’t be ignored. Stone is their most productive fantasy player on average, so he’s the play if you’re looking to not deviate too much from the chalk in cash games.WR. SmithSJ@VGKWed 10:30$5300$5300$18Smith and Jonathan Marchessault play on the wings of William Karlsson, and that entire line stays together on the second PP unit, which gives them some stack appeal. Smith is a bit of a value on FD and could be used as a one-off there, and the line as a whole is priced better there, so that would be the site to stack them in a GPP.WA. ChiassonVAN@EDMWed 10:00$3700$3000$12Chiasson is a nice salary relief option on both sites, but especially on DK where he’s only $3,000. Chiasson will skate on the third line, but his value comes from his spot on the top PP unit. There was some thought to including rookie Joakim Nygard here. He’s a 26-year-old signed out of the Swedish Elite League, and he might play on the top line with McDavid out of the gate. But that’s a big “might”. Nygard would have little to no value if he’s not playing alongside McDavid, so we need to see it before we play it.WV. TarasenkoWSH@STLWed 8:00$8100$6700$27Tarasenko and Jaden Schwartz are the wingers on the Schenn line, and the line stays together on the top PP unit, which adds to their stack appeal. The entire line is priced better on DK than FD, so they make for an interesting stack option there.WB. PirriSJ@VGKWed 10:30$3900$4600$16Pirri is your salary relief option on FD with a price tag under $4K. He’ll play on the third line with either Paul Stastny or Glass centering him, and he should play on the second PP unit with the Karlsson line we like for a GPP stack.DM. RiellyOTT@TORWed 7:00$5700$6200$23Rielly is how you get your chalk exposure to the Tavares line. Rielly skated the most with the Tavares line at even strength in home games last season, and he’s the D-man on the top PP unit, which gets you some indirect exposure to each top-six line.DN. SchmidtSJ@VGKWed 10:30$4500$4000$16Schmidt could be an option to include in a VGK2 stack. He’s reasonably priced and joins the Karlsson line on the second PP unit.DO. KlefbomVAN@EDMWed 10:00$5000$5000$17Klefbom is the D-man who gets to play on the top PP unit with all the Edmonton forwards listed above. He’s priced reasonably on both sites but a bit better on FD.DA. EdlerVAN@EDMWed 10:00$5100$5100$21Edler was a great value last season, and he’s starting off the year the same way as the top defensive value on FD and second-best value on DK per my projections. He’s a top pair defenseman who sees PP1 work, so he obviously has a good chance to find the scoresheet. But Edler can produce in fantasy without scoring points. Among D-men on this slate, Edler led them last year in shots on goal plus blocks per minutes played. That gives him a nice floor.GF. AndersenOTT@TORWed 7:00$8700$8400$33Andersen is the chalk option in net with the Leafs easily being the biggest favorite of the night. He has the highest projection of any goalie tonight by a good margin and is worth paying up for when you can, particularly in cash.GM. KoskinenVAN@EDMWed 10:00$7500$7200$27If Andersen isn’t in my lineup, Koskinen will be. As stated, the Oilers would be my second choice of the night, and though they’re not as heavily favored as the Golden Knights, they’re a -130 home favorite. Koskinen is priced well on both sites and is the top goalie value on both sites per my projections. One caveat here: If you want to use Edler and/or Horvat in your lineup and can’t afford Andersen, you won’t want to use Koskinen. In that even, his opponent, Jacob Markstrom could be used in conjunction with Canuck skaters.For more player recommendations and analysis, become a Fantasy Alarm subscriber today! MORE: Free one-week trial of Fantasy Alarm’s PRO toolsWe’re glad to have you with us this season, and we hope you find value in our content this season! We invite you to check out our season-long and DFS content for all sports with a free one-week trial to Fantasy Alarm.last_img

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